Air travel reductions could increase if shutdown continues, Duffy says – abcnews.go.com

Lead: Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy warned Friday that U.S. air travel cutbacks could deepen if the government shutdown persists, after FAA safety teams recommended gradual capacity reductions at 40 high‑impact airports. The agency began limiting flights this weekend, initially at 4% and scheduled to rise to 10% by Nov. 14, amid growing staff shortages and operational strain. The move coincides with nearly 1,000 cancellations on Friday and significant delays at multiple hubs, officials said. Duffy said further reductions above 10% — and additional disruptions — are possible if controller absences continue.

Key Takeaways

  • The FAA ordered staged reductions at 40 major airports, starting at 4% and set to reach 10% by Nov. 14; airlines face $75,000 fines for flights over limits.
  • As of 4:10 p.m. ET Friday, FlightAware reported at least 966 U.S. domestic or international flights canceled related to the disruptions.
  • Major carriers announced planned cuts: American about 220 of ~6,000 daily departures, United fewer than 200 of ~5,000, and Delta roughly 170 flights per day.
  • Staffing gaps affected more than 16 air traffic control facilities Friday; pilots reported slower responses and increased instances of loss of separation.
  • Local delays included an average four‑hour delay at Ronald Reagan Washington National, 90 minutes at Phoenix Sky Harbor, and about an hour at major Chicago, Houston and Austin airports.
  • The FAA has asked private jets to avoid the 40 impacted airports; many private operators reportedly chose alternate fields to reduce pressure.
  • Duffy emphasized safety data — including breaches of separation and tower/tarmac incursions — as the basis for reductions rather than economic considerations.

Background

The staffing stress stems from a federal government shutdown that forced many air traffic controllers to work without pay, prompting some to call out or seek secondary employment. Controller absences have produced scattered delays and cancellations for several weeks, and last weekend a surge of callouts strained operations in multiple regions — the FAA reported that at one point as many as 80% of controllers were absent in the New York City area.

To preserve safety margins in the national airspace, the FAA moved to limit operations at 40 airports it designated “high‑impact.” The agency set a schedule to throttled capacity: 6% by Nov. 11 and 10% by Nov. 14 under an emergency order that also includes penalties for noncompliance. Airlines and the Transportation Department have framed the step as precautionary, citing measured increases in operational incidents and pilot complaints about controller responsiveness.

Main Event

On Friday, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy spoke at Reagan National Airport and told reporters the FAA’s safety team recommended a gradual increase in reductions to 10% as the safest path forward. He said officials chose a stepped approach rather than an abrupt cut to avoid immediate system shock, but warned that the Department of Transportation might request deeper cancellations if controller callouts accelerate.

Operational impacts were immediate: major carriers announced hundreds of cancellations timed to the FAA limits, and passengers at numerous airports experienced long waits and delays. Airport snapshots included a four‑hour average delay at Ronald Reagan Washington National and large delays at Phoenix, Chicago, Houston and Austin, affecting both connecting and origin passengers.

Duffy highlighted specific safety data driving the decision: more reports of loss of separation between aircraft, increased incursions on tarmacs and heightened pilot complaints about stressed, less‑responsive controllers. He said the data trended in the wrong direction and compelled additional measures to reduce workload in the system.

The FAA also asked private jet operators to refrain from using the 40 constrained airports; while not banned, many private operators voluntarily rerouted to reduce congestion. The Department estimates the airline industry could incur tens of millions of dollars from these operational adjustments, Duffy said.

Analysis & Implications

Safety first: the FAA framed the reductions as a capacity management tool to protect minimum separation and controller workload — longstanding safety priorities for the U.S. airspace. When a controller pool shrinks, margins narrow and the risk of procedural errors or delays increases; regulators judge tolerance for risk conservatively, so preemptive limits are typical responses.

Economic ripple effects will vary by market. Airlines have said they will try to rebook affected passengers on other flights, arguing the timing — not a peak travel period — provides extra seat inventory. Still, localized markets with few daily services could see outsized disruption if small regional flights are removed, and carriers may face substantial re‑accommodation costs and compensation liabilities.

Politically, the episode puts pressure on both lawmakers and the White House. Duffy publicly urged an end to the shutdown as the simplest fix; prolonged political impasse could force more severe restrictions, strain airline finances, and erode traveler confidence heading into holidays. International routes remain exempt due to treaty obligations, but reciprocal actions by partner countries could complicate transborder networks if the situation worsens.

Operationally, the FAA’s staged reductions create a blunt instrument to control system load. The agency’s enforcement mechanism — $75,000 fines per over‑limit flight — incentivizes airline compliance, but also tests the resilience of reroute plans, crew scheduling and airport resources across the network.

Comparison & Data

Item Number / Target
Flights canceled (FlightAware, 4:10 p.m. ET Friday) At least 966
FAA capacity reduction schedule 4% start → 6% by Nov. 11 → 10% by Nov. 14
American Airlines announced cuts About 220 of ~6,000 daily departures
United Airlines announced cuts Fewer than 200 of ~5,000 daily departures
Delta announced cuts About 170 daily flights

The table above summarizes the near‑term numeric impacts disclosed by regulators and carriers. While the top‑line canceled flights approach 1,000 for the single day reported, carriers emphasize that many affected passengers can be moved within a few hours; industry officials compare the network effect to a medium‑sized storm rather than a complete shutdown. Nonetheless, the staged reductions are designed to remove capacity before safety margins erode further, so data trends in controller availability will dictate whether the measures remain temporary or expand.

Reactions & Quotes

“My hope is that this government shutdown will end soon and we can get back in the business of letting Americans travel.”

Sean Duffy, U.S. Transportation Secretary

Context: Duffy framed the reductions as a safety response tied to the shutdown, stressing that reopening the government would quickly remove the need for capacity limits.

“We are going to cancel flights that we think have the least amount of disruption for customers…there will not be chaos over the weekend.”

David Kinzelman, United Chief Customer Officer

Context: United emphasized rebooking capacity and said it would spread cancellations to minimize concentrated impacts on small markets.

“We’ve seen more breaches regarding loss of separation and more complaints from pilots about stress from air traffic controllers.”

FAA safety team summary, as described by the Transportation Department

Context: Officials cited operational indicators — separation breaches and pilot complaints — as primary inputs for the decision to limit operations.

Unconfirmed

  • Whether cancellations will exceed 10% at the affected airports remains contingent on evolving controller callout rates and has not been formally projected by the FAA.
  • Any potential reciprocal international restrictions by partner countries if the U.S. curtailed international flights is hypothetical; the FAA said it will not reduce international service to avoid treaty breaches.
  • Estimates of industry financial losses described as “tens of millions” have not been independently audited and depend on final cancellation and rebooking tallies.

Bottom Line

The FAA’s staged capacity limits at 40 major airports are a safety‑driven attempt to keep the system within manageable margins amid controller absences stemming from the government shutdown. The immediate practical effect is hundreds of cancellations and system‑wide delays, but agencies and major carriers are positioning the action as controlled and temporary if staffing stabilizes.

However, the situation remains fragile: if more controllers call out or seek secondary work, the Transportation Department warned reductions could exceed the current 10% target. Ending the shutdown is the fastest path to restoring normal operations; absent that, travelers should expect continued disruption and monitor airline communications closely.

Sources

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