Yankees’ Plan B if Cody Bellinger Signs Elsewhere

NEW YORK — As the Yankees and Cody Bellinger remain apart in free-agency talks in early December, New York faces a clear decision point: either re-sign the versatile outfielder on terms acceptable to both sides or pivot to alternative targets and trade strategies. Bellinger told reporters after the American League Division Series he would “absolutely” be interested in returning, and Yankees general manager Brian Cashman publicly expressed the club’s desire to keep him. Reports from the Winter Meetings indicate discussions have stalled over length and annual average value, and the team is reportedly operating under the assumption Bellinger may sign elsewhere.

Key Takeaways

  • The Yankees offered a contract believed to be roughly five years at an AAV of at least $30 million; Bellinger prefers a longer term, possibly seven years.
  • Cody Bellinger, 30, made $27.5 million in 2025 and hit .272/.334/.480 with 29 home runs, 98 RBIs, 13 stolen bases and 5.1 bWAR across 152 games.
  • Bellinger’s recent bWAR by season: 2019 — 8.7; 2021 — -1.6; 2023 — 4.8; 2024 — 2.2; 2025 — 5.1, illustrating performance volatility.
  • Comparable winter deals include Pete Alonso (five years, $155 million) and Kyle Schwarber (five years, $150 million).
  • Potential alternatives for the Yankees include pursuing Kyle Tucker, Bo Bichette, or using a Bichette signing to facilitate trades for starting pitching.
  • If the Yankees re-sign Bellinger, Jasson Domínguez could be displaced in left field; a Bichette addition would shift infield plans and open trade leverage.
  • Cashman has emphasized the club’s existing nine-figure commitments, noting payroll geometry constrains further large contracts.

Background

The Yankees acquired Bellinger from the Cubs in December 2024 as part of a move in which Chicago covered $2.5 million of his 2025 salary. Bellinger’s blend of athleticism, switch-hitting pop and defensive versatility quickly endeared him to manager Aaron Boone and many in the clubhouse. New York’s front office publicly signaled interest in retaining him after he delivered a bounce-back 2025 season that produced 5.1 bWAR, his best since winning the 2019 NL MVP at 8.7 bWAR with Los Angeles.

But Bellinger’s track record is mixed: he suffered a steep downturn in 2021 (-1.6 bWAR), recovered in 2023 (4.8 bWAR) and dipped again in 2024 (2.2 bWAR) before rebounding in New York. Those swings factor into the Yankees’ valuation and the structure they are willing to offer. The team’s recent history of signing core players to large, multi-year contracts — including Aaron Judge, Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodón and Max Fried — further complicates how much payroll flexibility remains.

Main Event

Negotiations over length and AAV have been the primary sticking points. New York’s most recent proposal is believed to be roughly five years at an annual average of at least $30 million, while Bellinger and agent Scott Boras are reportedly seeking a longer guarantee, with seven years under consideration. ESPN’s Buster Olney reported during the Winter Meetings that the Yankees are “now operating under the assumption that Bellinger is going to sign elsewhere,” a framing that may reflect negotiation posture as much as a settled conclusion.

Team officials have reiterated Bellinger’s impact and the club’s desire to keep him if a deal fits within their financial planning. Cashman told reporters at the Winter Meetings that Bellinger “was an impactful player for us last year,” and the organization has weighed that impact against existing long-term commitments. The club’s offer aligns in length and AAV with recent five-year contracts handed out this winter, underscoring a market standard the Yankees appear willing to match but not exceed significantly.

If Bellinger departs, the Yankees’ list of realistic alternatives is narrow. Kyle Tucker is widely viewed as the top available outfielder, though his free agency has progressed slowly. Another route would be targeting Bo Bichette — a move that would have ripple effects across both roster construction and division dynamics, since Bichette is a key bat for the rival Toronto Blue Jays.

Analysis & Implications

Risk management is central to the Yankees’ stance. Bellinger’s 2025 resurgence supports a premium offer, but his historical performance volatility makes a long-term, high-AAV commitment more uncertain. From a payroll-design perspective, adding another nine-figure obligation would further concentrate salary and limit spending for pitching and depth, areas Cashman and the front office have signaled as priorities.

Signing Bo Bichette would alter both field alignment and trade options. Bichette could temporarily start at shortstop while Anthony Volpe recovers from shoulder surgery, but scouts generally see Bichette’s long-term fit as second or third base. That positional flexibility would allow the Yankees to convert Bichette’s presence into trade capital — potentially for starting pitching targets like Freddy Peralta or MacKenzie Gore — addressing a rotation need without exceeding payroll targets.

Pursuing Kyle Tucker would be a different calculus: Tucker holds elite metrics and would plug a clear offensive hole, but acquiring him likely requires a larger financial outlay and could mean sacrificing prospects or taking on additional long-term payroll. Each path — re-sign Bellinger, sign Bichette, chase Tucker, or pivot to trades — carries trade-offs in cost, clubhouse fit and future roster flexibility.

Comparison & Data

Player / Contract Length Total Context
Cody Bellinger (Yankees offer) ~5 years ~$150+ million (AAV ≥ $30M) Yankees reported offer; Bellinger prefers longer term
Pete Alonso 5 years $155 million Deal this winter with Baltimore (reported)
Kyle Schwarber 5 years $150 million Deal this winter with Philadelphia (reported)
Recent comparable free-agent first/left-field contracts and the Yankees’ reported proposal.

The table shows the market benchmark the Yankees cited implicitly when structuring their offer. Bellinger’s ask for more years would push total guaranteed dollars higher than recent five-year comparables, increasing the payroll leverage required to absorb that commitment.

Reactions & Quotes

Club leadership framed the negotiation in the context of roster construction and payroll geometry.

“He was an impactful player for us last year, and we’d love to have him back if it could fit for us.”

Brian Cashman, Yankees GM (Winter Meetings)

Cashman’s comment underscores both the team’s appreciation of Bellinger’s 2025 contributions and the conditional nature of any reunion based on financial fit. The remark was delivered while the front office outlined how existing long-term deals affect future offers.

“I would absolutely be interested in putting it back on.”

Cody Bellinger (post-ALDS)

Bellinger’s short, direct statement after the Division Series signaled personal willingness to return, but it did not address length or dollar terms. That left contract structure as the decisive variable in continued talks.

“Everything adds up. Everything counts. We are an aggressive franchise. But while being aggressive, we already have some very large commitments.”

Brian Cashman (December)

Cashman’s broader assessment reflects the franchise’s philosophy and the practical limits created by existing nine-figure contracts. It explains why the Yankees appear resistant to extending beyond the proposed five-year framework at current AAV levels.

Unconfirmed

  • Reports that “as many as eight clubs” have checked in with Cody Bellinger are based on agent/meeting accounts and are not independently verified here.
  • The characterization that the Yankees are definitively operating under the assumption Bellinger will sign elsewhere comes from media reporting and may reflect negotiation strategy rather than a finalized front-office decision.
  • Any specific trade targets tied to a Bichette signing (such as firm interest in Freddy Peralta or MacKenzie Gore) are based on prior expressions of interest, not on confirmed trade talks.

Bottom Line

The Yankees face a classic risk-reward choice: meet Bellinger’s duration preference and increase long-term payroll exposure, or hold firm at a five-year, ~$30M AAV ceiling and pursue other high-impact options. Bellinger’s strong 2025 season strengthens his market case, but his historical volatility tempers a club’s willingness to commit for an extended period.

Operationally, signing Bo Bichette or Kyle Tucker, or using Bichette as trade capital for pitching, are all viable contingency strategies, each with different cost structures and roster consequences. How the Yankees navigate this window will signal whether they prioritize preserving payroll flexibility for pitching upgrades or locking in offensive continuity around players like Bellinger.

Sources

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