{"id":3472,"date":"2025-11-22T01:07:45","date_gmt":"2025-11-21T16:07:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/nyse-december-rate-cut-expectation\/"},"modified":"2025-11-22T01:07:45","modified_gmt":"2025-11-21T16:07:45","slug":"nyse-december-rate-cut-expectation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/nyse-december-rate-cut-expectation\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub274\uc695\uc99d\uc2dc, 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd9c\ubc1c"},"content":{"rendered":"<article>\n<h2>\ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc57d<\/h2>\n<p>\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac04 11\uc6d4 21\uc77c \uc624\uc804 \ub274\uc695\uc99d\uc2dc\uc758 3\ub300 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 12\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba70 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4\ub294 146.99\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(0.32%) \uc624\ub978 45,899.25, S&#038;P500\uc740 13.41\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(0.21%) \uc624\ub978 6,552.17, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\uc740 3.47\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(0.02%) \uc624\ub978 22,081.52\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc874 \uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 NY\uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 &#8216;FFR \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704 \ucd94\uac00 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5&#8217; \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc774\ud6c4 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uac00 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 70.9%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ud575\uc2ec \uc0ac\uc2e4<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a430\uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 146.99\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(0.32%) \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 45,899.25\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>S&#038;P500\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 13.41\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(0.21%) \uc624\ub978 6,552.17, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 \uc885\ud569\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 3.47\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(0.02%) \uc624\ub978 22,081.52\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 12\uc6d4 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \ud6c4 70.9%\ub85c, \uc804\uc77c 39.1%\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 51.9(\uc608\uc0c1 52.0), \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 55.0(\uc608\uc0c1 54.5)\ub85c \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5\uc774 4\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc0c8 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 51.0(\uc608\uc0c1 50.5)\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub410\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\uac1c\ubcc4 \uc885\ubaa9: \uc560\ud50c +1.07%, \uc54c\ud30c\ubcb3 +3.12%; \uac2d \uc8fc\uac00\ub294 \ub3d9\uc77c\uc810\ud3ec \ub9e4\ucd9c 5% \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18c\uc2dd\uc5d0 6% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc790\uc0b0\uc6b4\uc6a9\uc0ac \uac24\ub7ed\uc2dc \ub514\uc9c0\ud138\uc740 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d 5% \ud558\ub77d, \uc77c\ub798\uc2a4\ud2f1\uc740 \ud074\ub77c\uc6b0\ub4dc \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\ub85c 14% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\uc720\ub7fd\uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uc57d\uc138, \uc720\ub85c\uc2a4\ud1a1\uc2a450 -0.96%\ub85c 5,516.41\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. WTI \uadfc\uc6d4\ubb3c\uc740 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 57.43\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c 2.66% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\uc0ac\uac74 \ubc30\uacbd<\/h2>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c \uc218\ub144\uac04 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc5ec\ub7ec \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\uba70 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uae34\ucd95\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \uc644\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \ud55c\ub9c8\ub514\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc14\uafb8\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \uc810\ub3c4 \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc, \uadf8\uc911\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 AI \uad00\ub828 \uc885\ubaa9\uc740 \ud560\uc778\uc728 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \uc6d4\uac00 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc740 &#8216;\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ubc18\uc601&#8217;\uc744 \uc11c\uc11c\ud788 \ub298\ub9ac\ub294 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9 \uc911\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4\uac00 \uc774\ubc88 \uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e8\uae30 \ubca0\ud305\uc774 \ub354\uc6b1 \uac15\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uacbd\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c(\uc608: PMI, \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc2ec\ub9ac \uac1c\uc120 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uacbd\uae30 \ud68c\ubcf5 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uace0\ub824\ud558\uac8c \ud588\ub2e4. \uad6d\uc81c \uc720\uac00\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uacf5\uae09\u00b7\uc218\uc694\ubfd0 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubcc0\uc218\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud574 \uacbd\uae30\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce5c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\uc8fc\uc694 \uc0ac\uac74<\/h2>\n<p>21\uc77c \uc624\uc804 \ub274\uc695\uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uc7a5\ucd08\ubc18\ubd80\ud130 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0, S&#038;P, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 \ubaa8\ub450 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \ud2b9\ud788 \ub300\ud615 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\uc640 AI \uad00\ub828 \uc885\ubaa9\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \uc720\uc785\ub410\ub2e4. \uc874 \uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 \ub274\uc695 \uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \uce60\ub808 \uc0b0\ud2f0\uc544\uace0\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b0 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud589\uc0ac \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 &#8216;\uc911\ub9bd \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \ub354 \uac00\uae5d\uac8c \uc774\ub3d9&#8217;\uc2dc\ud0ac \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc9c1\ud6c4 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uac00 \uc0b0\ucd9c\ud55c 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc774 39.1%\uc5d0\uc11c 70.9%\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uae30\uac00 \ub410\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc5ec\ud30c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\uc640 \uc77c\ubd80 AI \uad00\ub828 \uc885\ubaa9\uc758 \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc560\ud50c\uacfc \uc54c\ud30c\ubcb3 \ub4f1 \ub300\ud615 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\ub294 \uac01\uac01 1% \ub0b4\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 51.9\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(52.0)\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc11\ub3c8 \ubc18\uba74, \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 55.0\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1(54.5)\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 4\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud574 \uacbd\uae30 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud63c\uc7ac\ub41c \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uad00\ucc30\ub410\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218\ub3c4 51.0\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1(50.5)\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc544 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc2ec\ub9ac \uac1c\uc120\uc774 \uc77c\ubd80 \ud655\uc778\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc5c5\ubcc4\ub85c\ub294 \uac2d\uc774 \ub3d9\uc77c \uc810\ud3ec \ub9e4\ucd9c 5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\uba70 \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 6% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uace0, \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub77d\uc758 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uac24\ub7ed\uc2dc \ub514\uc9c0\ud138\uc740 \uc57d 5% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc77c\ub798\uc2a4\ud2f1\uc740 \ud074\ub77c\uc6b0\ub4dc \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \uc18c\uc2dd\uc5d0 14% \ub118\uac8c \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0 \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00\ub294 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc885\uacb0 \uae30\ub300 \ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ubd84\uc11d \ubc0f \uc758\ubbf8<\/h2>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc758 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\ub97c \ubd88\ub7ec\uc654\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc758 \ud560\uc778\uc728\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba74 \uc7a5\ub798 \ud604\uae08\ud750\ub984\uc758 \ud604\uc7ac\uac00\uce58\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8\uc9c0\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \ubbfc\uac10 \uc139\ud130\uc640 \uc18c\ube44\uc7ac, \ud5ec\uc2a4\ucf00\uc5b4, \ud1b5\uc2e0 \ub4f1 \uacbd\uae30 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc758 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc5c5\uc885\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc139\ud130\ub294 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801 \ud638\uc7ac\uc640 \uc911\uc7a5\uae30 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\uc758 \uad34\ub9ac\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \ub530\uc838\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc815\ucc45 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 12\uc6d4 FOMC\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \ubc1c\ud45c\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc787\ub530\ub77c \ub098\uc640 \uae30\ub300\uce58\uac00 \uc790\uc8fc \uc870\uc815\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \uadf8\ub54c\ub9c8\ub2e4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uae09\ubcc0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uad6d\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc\uc758 \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30 \ud68c\ubcf5 \uc2e0\ud638\uc640 \ucda9\ub3cc\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc5f0\ucd9c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \ud06c\ub85c\uc2a4\ub9c8\ucf13 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ube44\uad50 \ubc0f \ub370\uc774\ud130<\/h2>\n<figure>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\uc9c0\ud45c<\/th>\n<th>\ubcc0\ub3d9(\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8)<\/th>\n<th>\ubcc0\ub3d9(%)<\/th>\n<th>\uc218\uc900<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4<\/td>\n<td>+146.99<\/td>\n<td>+0.32%<\/td>\n<td>45,899.25<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>S&#038;P500<\/td>\n<td>+13.41<\/td>\n<td>+0.21%<\/td>\n<td>6,552.17<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5<\/td>\n<td>+3.47<\/td>\n<td>+0.02%<\/td>\n<td>22,081.52<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\uc720\ub85c\uc2a4\ud1a1\uc2a450<\/td>\n<td>-53.57<\/td>\n<td>-0.96%<\/td>\n<td>5,516.41<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>WTI(\uadfc\uc6d4\ubb3c)<\/td>\n<td>-1.57<\/td>\n<td>-2.66%<\/td>\n<td>$57.43\/\ubc30\ub7f4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<p>\uc704 \ud45c\ub294 \ub2f9\uc77c \uc7a5\ucd08\ubc18 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc640 \uc0c1\ud488 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc815\ub9ac\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. S&#038;P \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI(55.0)\uc640 \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218(51.0)\uac00 \uacbd\uae30 \ud68c\ubcf5 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29\uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ucda9 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ubc18\uc751 \ubc0f \uc778\uc6a9<\/h2>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8220;FFR\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><cite>\uc874 \uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4, \ub274\uc695\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589 \ucd1d\uc7ac(\uc5f0\uc124)<\/cite><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\ud654 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub458 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub97c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc989\uac01 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8220;\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \ub0b4\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc788\ub2e4.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><cite>\uc874 \ucf10\ubca8, \uc62c\uc2a4\ud504\ub9c1 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc778\ubca0\uc2a4\ud2b8\uba3c\ud2b8 \ud575\uc2ec\uc790\uc0b0\ud300 \ud5e4\ub4dc(\ubc1c\uc5b8)<\/cite><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\ucf10\ubca8 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc788\uaca0\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc804\ubc18\uc801 \uc778\ud558 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c4\ub2e8\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\n<aside>\n<details>\n<summary>\uc6a9\uc5b4\/\ubc29\ubc95\ub860<\/summary>\n<p>CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234\uc740 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Fed funds rate) \uacb0\uc815 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc0b0\ucd9c\ud55c\ub2e4. FOMC\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uad6c\ub85c \ud1b5\uc0c1 \uc5f0 8\ud68c \ub0b4\uc678 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uac1c\ucd5c\ud55c\ub2e4. PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c 50\uc774\uc0c1\uc740 \ud655\uc7a5, \uc774\ud558 \uc218\ucd95\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud574 \uc18c\ube44\uc131\ud5a5\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ucf00 \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae30\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\uc6a9\ud55c \uc9c0\uc218\uc640 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc7a5\uc911 \uc2dc\uc138\ub97c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n<\/aside>\n<\/h2>\n<h2>\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \ubd80\ubd84<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>\uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 \ucd1d\uc7ac \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uace7\ubc14\ub85c 12\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ud655\uc815\uc801 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\ub294\uc9c0\ub294 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\ud604\uc7ac \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc644\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc778\uc9c0, \uc218\uc694 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc778\uc9c0\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \ubd84\uba85\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\ucd1d\ud3c9<\/h2>\n<p>\ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc99d\uc2dc\ub97c \ubc00\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\uac83\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub85c \uc5f0\uacb0\ub420\uc9c0\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\uc640 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801\u00b7\uac70\uc2dc\uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uad00\ucc30\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub294 12\uc6d4 FOMC \uc804 \ub098\uc62c \uc8fc\uc694 \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c, \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c, \uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801\uacfc \uad6d\uc81c \uc720\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc9c0\uae08\ucc98\ub7fc \ud55c\ub450 \uba85\uc758 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\uc640 \ubd84\uc0b0\ud22c\uc790\uac00 \uc911\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ucd9c\ucc98<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.yna.co.kr\/view\/AKR20251122000500009\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\uc5f0\ud569\ub274\uc2a4<\/a> (\uc5b8\ub860 \uae30\uc0ac)<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CME Group &#8211; FedWatch Tool<\/a> (\uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ud45c)<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">S&#038;P Global<\/a> (PMI \uc870\uc0ac\u00b7\uc790\ub8cc \uc81c\uacf5 \uae30\uad00)<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sca.isr.umich.edu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">University of Michigan<\/a> (\uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218)<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/commodities\/crude-oil\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Investing.com &#8211; Crude Oil<\/a> (\uc6d0\uc720 \uc2dc\uc138)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc57d \ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac04 11\uc6d4 21\uc77c \uc624\uc804 \ub274\uc695\uc99d\uc2dc\uc758 3\ub300 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 12\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba70 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4\ub294 146.99\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(0.32%) \uc624\ub978 45,899.25, S&#038;P500\uc740 13.41\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(0.21%) \uc624\ub978 6,552.17, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\uc740 3.47\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(0.02%) \uc624\ub978 22,081.52\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc874 \uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 NY\uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 &#8216;FFR \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704 \ucd94\uac00 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5&#8217; \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc774\ud6c4 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uac00 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 70.9%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub410\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc0ac\uc2e4 \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a430\uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 &#8230; <a title=\"\ub274\uc695\uc99d\uc2dc, 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd9c\ubc1c\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/nyse-december-rate-cut-expectation\/\" aria-label=\"\ub274\uc695\uc99d\uc2dc, 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd9c\ubc1c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub354 \uc790\uc138\ud788 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uc138\uc694\">\ub354 \uc77d\uae30<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3470,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_title":"\ub274\uc695\uc99d\uc2dc, 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd9c\ubc1c - \ub274\uc2a4\uc778\uc0ac\uc774\ud2b8","rank_math_description":"12\uc6d4 FOMC \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba70 11\uc6d421\uc77c \ub274\uc695\uc99d\uc2dc\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 \uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc774\ud6c4 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud655\ub960\uc774 70.9%\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \ubc30\uacbd\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc758\ubbf8\ub97c \ubd84\uc11d\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.","rank_math_focus_keyword":"\ub274\uc695\uc99d\uc2dc,\uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558,FOMC,\ub2e4\uc6b0,S&P500,\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3472","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-top-stories"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3472","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3472"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3472\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3470"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3472"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3472"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3472"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}