{"id":3481,"date":"2025-11-22T04:04:07","date_gmt":"2025-11-21T19:04:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/usd-krw-fed-cut-expectation\/"},"modified":"2025-11-22T04:04:07","modified_gmt":"2025-11-21T19:04:07","slug":"usd-krw-fed-cut-expectation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/usd-krw-fed-cut-expectation\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc6d0, \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \ucd95\uc18c\u20261,471\uc6d0\ub300 \ub9c8\uac10"},"content":{"rendered":"<article>\n<p><strong>\ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc57d<\/strong> 22\uc77c(\ud55c\uad6d\uc2dc\uac04) \uc0c8\ubcbd \ub274\uc695\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc6d0 \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uace0\uc704 \uc778\uc0ac\uc758 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uba70 1,471.50\uc6d0\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \uc804\uc77c \uc11c\uc6b8 \uc885\uac00 \ub300\ube44 3.60\uc6d0 \uc624\ub978 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810 1,477.90\uc6d0\uacfc \uc800\uc810 1,469.10\uc6d0 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uce74\uace0\uc0c1\ud488\uac70\ub798\uc18c(CME) \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 12\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 25bp \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc774 69.5%\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud574 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ud575\uc2ec \uc0ac\uc2e4<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>\uc885\uac00: \ub274\uc695\uc7a5(\ud55c\uad6d\uc2dc\uac04 22\uc77c \uc0c8\ubcbd 2\uc2dc) \ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc6d0\uc740 \uc804\uc7a5 \uc11c\uc6b8\ud658\uc2dc \uc885\uac00 \ub300\ube44 3.60\uc6d0 \uc624\ub978 1,471.50\uc6d0\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\uc8fc\uac04 \ub300\ube44: \uac19\uc740 \ub0a0 \uc8fc\uac04(9\uc2dc~15\uc2dc30\ubd84) \uc885\uac00 1,475.60\uc6d0\ubcf4\ub2e4 4.10\uc6d0 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\uc5f0\uc900 \ubc1c\uc5b8: \uc874 \uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 \ub274\uc695\uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \uc0b0\ud2f0\uc544\uace0 \uc5f0\uc124\uc5d0\uc11c &#8220;\uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc77c \ub0b4\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \ucd94\uac00 \uc870\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4&#8221;\uace0 \ubc1c\uc5b8\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58: \ub274\uc695 \uc624\uc804 11\uc2dc55\ubd84 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 12\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 69.5%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601, \uc804\uc77c 39.1%\uc5d0\uc11c 30%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\uc7a5\uc911 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131: \ub2f9\uc77c \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810 1,477.90\uc6d0, \uc800\uc810 1,469.10\uc6d0\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed\uc740 8.80\uc6d0\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\uad50\ucc28\ud1b5\ud654: \ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc5d4 156.551\uc5d4, \uc720\ub85c-\ub2ec\ub7ec 1.15060\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc5ed\uc678 \ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc704\uc548 7.1057\uc704\uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\uc7ac\uc815\ud658\uc728: 100\uc5d4\ub2f9 \uc5d4-\uc6d0 \uc7ac\uc815\ud658\uc728\uc740 939.58\uc6d0, \uc704\uc548-\uc6d0 \ud658\uc728\uc740 206.98\uc6d0\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\uac70\ub798\ub7c9: \uc57c\uac04 \uac70\ub798\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc11c\uc6b8\uc678\uad6d\ud658\uc911\uac1c\uc640 \ud55c\uad6d\uc790\uae08\uc911\uac1c \ud569\uc0b0 \ucd1d \ud604\ubb3c\ud658 \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uc740 138\uc5b57\ucc9c600\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\uc0ac\uac74 \ubc30\uacbd<\/h2>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00 \uacbd\ub85c \ubcc0\ud654\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc644\ud654 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub17c\uc758\uac00 \ube48\ubc88\ud574\uc84c\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \ud558\ub098\ud558\ub098\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud55c\uad6d \uc6d0\ud654\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud750\ub984\uacfc \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc218\ucd9c\u00b7\uc218\uc785\u00b7\uc678\uad6d\uc778 \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\ub77c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc644\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \uc6d0\ud654 \uac15\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc27d\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc0ac\ub840\uc5d0\uc11c \uc8fc\ubaa9\ub418\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub0b4\ubd80 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b0 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uace0\uc704 \uc778\uc0ac\uc758 \uc5b8\uae09\uc774 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc989\uac01 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uba70 \ud658\uc728\uacfc \uc99d\uc2dc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud55c \uc804\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 12\uc6d4 FOMC \ud68c\uc758 \uc77c\uc815(\ud1b5\uc0c1 12\uc6d4 \ub458\uc9f8 \uc8fc)\uc774 \uc784\ubc15\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uc704\uc6d0 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud30c\uae09\ub825\uc740 \ub354\uc6b1 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\uc8fc\uc694 \uc0ac\uac74 \uc804\uac1c<\/h2>\n<p>\ub274\uc695\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc6d0\uc740 \ub274\uc695\uc7a5 \uc9c4\uc785 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 1,474\uc6d0 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc874 \uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \uc0b0\ud2f0\uc544\uace0 \uc5f0\uc124\uc774 \uc804\ud574\uc9c0\uc790 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \u2018\uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc77c \ub0b4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\u2019\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud45c\ud604\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc989\uac01 \ubc18\uc601\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uac00 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \ud655\ub960 \uae09\ub4f1\uc744 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c 12\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\ud558 \ubc18\uc601 \ube44\uc911\uc774 \uc804\uc77c 39.1%\uc5d0\uc11c 69.5%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uc790 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc904\uace0, \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\uac00 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub274\uc695\uc99d\uc2dc 3\ub300 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ubaa8\ub450 1% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc678\ud658 \ub51c\ub7ec\ub4e4\uc774 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc870\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774 \uad00\ucc30\ub410\ub2e4. \uc7a5\uc911 \ucd5c\uace0 1,477.90\uc6d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\ub358 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc800\uc810 1,469.10\uc6d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ube60\uc9c0\uba70 \ub2f9\uc77c \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed\uc740 8.80\uc6d0\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc678\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc704\uc548\uacfc \ub2e4\ub978 \uad50\ucc28\ud658\uc728\ub3c4 \ub3d9\ubc18 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ubd84\uc11d \ubc0f \uc758\ubbf8<\/h2>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \ud558\ub098\uac00 \uae30\ub300(Expectation) \ucc44\ub110\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc801 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \uc0ac\ub840\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc874 \uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 FOMC\uc758 \uc815\uae30 \ud22c\ud45c\uad8c\uc744 \uac00\uc9c4 \uc778\ubb3c\ub85c, \uadf8\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \ud30c\uae09\ub825\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc758 \ub258\uc559\uc2a4(\u2018\uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc77c \ub0b4\u2019)\ub97c \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c \uc7ac\uc124\uc815\uc758 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \uc77d\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6d0\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728\uc758 \ud558\ub77d(\uc6d0\ud654 \uac15\uc138)\uc740 \uc218\ucd9c\uc5c5\uccb4\uc758 \ud658\uc728 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801\uc5d0 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc218\uc785\uc5c5\uccb4 \ubc0f \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \uc218\uc785\ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uacfc \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uad6c\ub9e4 \uc5ec\uac74 \uac1c\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc678\uad6d\uc778 \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucc44\uad8c\uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \uc555\ubc15\ud558\uba74 \uc790\ubcf8\uc720\ucd9c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uad6d\ub0b4\uc678\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \uc810\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc2e4\uc81c \uacb0\uc815\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300 \uac04 \uc2dc\ucc28\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c 69.5% \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uae30\ub300\uc758 \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uc9c0\ub9cc, FOMC \ucd5c\uc885 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uc548\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0 \ubc1c\uc5b8, \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c(\ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9)\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \ub354 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uacaa\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ube44\uad50 \ubc0f \ub370\uc774\ud130<\/h2>\n<figure>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\uc9c0\ud45c<\/th>\n<th>\uc218\uce58<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\ub274\uc695\uc7a5 \uc885\uac00(22\uc77c \uc0c8\ubcbd)<\/td>\n<td>1,471.50\uc6d0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\uc8fc\uac04 \uc885\uac00(\uc11c\uc6b8)<\/td>\n<td>1,475.60\uc6d0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\/\uc800<\/td>\n<td>1,477.90\uc6d0 \/ 1,469.10\uc6d0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed<\/td>\n<td>8.80\uc6d0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\ud604\ubb3c\ud658 \uac70\ub798\ub7c9(\ud569\uacc4)<\/td>\n<td>138\uc5b57\ucc9c600\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<p>\uc704 \ud45c\ub294 \ub2f9\uc77c \uc8fc\uc694 \uc218\uce58\ub97c \uc694\uc57d\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed\uacfc \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uc740 \uc57c\uac04 \ud3ec\ud568 \ud569\uc0b0\uce58\uc774\ubbc0\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc758 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc801 \ud06c\uae30\ub97c \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \ubcf4\uc870 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ubc18\uc751 \ubc0f \uc778\uc6a9<\/h2>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900 \uace0\uc704 \uc778\uc0ac \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc9c1\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubb38\uac00\uc640 \uae30\uad00\uc758 \ubc18\uc751\uc740 \uc2e0\uc18d\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd80\ub294 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \uc785\uc7a5\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc9c0\uc801\ud558\uba70 12\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc744 \ub0c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \ud1b5\uc0c1 \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \ucde8\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c, \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub354\uc6b1 \uad73\ud790 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p><cite>\uc874 \ubca8\ub9ac\uc2a4, BNY \uba5c\ub860(\uac70\uc2dc \uc804\ub7b5\uac00)<\/cite><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\ud55c\ud3b8 \uac70\ub798 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud655\ub960 \ubc18\uc601 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ud604\ubb3c \ud658\uc728\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc758 \ubc18\uc601 \ud655\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc778\uc2dd\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc99d\ud3ed\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p><cite>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub51c\ub7ec(\uc775\uba85)<\/cite><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uad00\uacc4\uc790\uc640 \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc758 \uc2e4\uc81c \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uad34\ub9ac\ub97c \uacbd\uacc4\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uc758 \uc815\ub2f9\uc131\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p><cite>\uae08\uc735\ud559\uacc4 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc790<\/cite><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<aside>\n<details>\n<summary>\uc6a9\uc5b4\/\ubc29\ubc95\ub860<\/summary>\n<p>\ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\ub294 CME \uadf8\ub8f9\uc774 \uc6b4\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c \uae30\ubc18 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c, \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Federal Funds Rate)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc2e4\uc2dc\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \uae30\ub300 \ucc44\ub110\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ud658\uc728\u00b7\ucc44\uad8c\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc804\ud30c\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ud604\ubb3c\uac70\ub798 \uc885\uac00\ub97c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub418\uba70, \uc7ac\uc815\ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \uc6d0\ud654\ub85c \ud658\uc0b0\ud55c \ube44\uc728\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n<\/aside>\n<h2>\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \ubd80\ubd84<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>\uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uacfc \ub3d9\uc77c\ud55c \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \ub73b\ud558\ub294\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub294 \ud655\uc815\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uc2e4\uc81c FOMC \uacb0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8\uc9c0\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud558\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\ub2e8\uae30 \uc99d\uc2dc \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ud658\uc728\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce60 \uc911\uc7a5\uae30 \uc601\ud5a5\uc740 \ucd94\uac00 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\ucd1d\ud3c9<\/h2>\n<p>22\uc77c \ub274\uc695\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ud658\uc728 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub0b4\ubd80 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \ud55c \uac74\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc14\uafb8\uba70 \ud658\uc728\uacfc \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0 \ub3d9\uc2dc \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc900 \uc804\ud615\uc801 \uc0ac\ub840\uc600\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ub192\uc5ec \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uc758 \uac15\ub3c4\uc77c \ubfd0 \uc2e4\uc81c \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\uacbd\uacfc\ub294 \ub2e4\ub974\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ubc1c\uc5b8, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 12\uc6d4 FOMC\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \ubcc0\ud654\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc640 \uc815\ucc45 \ub2f9\uad6d \ubaa8\ub450 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc2e4\ubb3c\uc9c0\ud45c \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uac04\uadf9\uc744 \uc8fc\uc758 \uae4a\uac8c \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ucd9c\ucc98<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.yna.co.kr\/view\/AKR20251122003600002\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\uc5f0\ud569\ub274\uc2a4 (\uc5b8\ub860)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CME Group \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 (\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc9c0\ud45c)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Federal Reserve (\uacf5\uc2dd)<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc57d 22\uc77c(\ud55c\uad6d\uc2dc\uac04) \uc0c8\ubcbd \ub274\uc695\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc6d0 \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uace0\uc704 \uc778\uc0ac\uc758 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uba70 1,471.50\uc6d0\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \uc804\uc77c \uc11c\uc6b8 \uc885\uac00 \ub300\ube44 3.60\uc6d0 \uc624\ub978 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810 1,477.90\uc6d0\uacfc \uc800\uc810 1,469.10\uc6d0 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uce74\uace0\uc0c1\ud488\uac70\ub798\uc18c(CME) \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 12\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 25bp \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc774 69.5%\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud574 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc0ac\uc2e4 \uc885\uac00: \ub274\uc695\uc7a5(\ud55c\uad6d\uc2dc\uac04 22\uc77c \uc0c8\ubcbd 2\uc2dc) \ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc6d0\uc740 \uc804\uc7a5 \uc11c\uc6b8\ud658\uc2dc \uc885\uac00 \ub300\ube44 &#8230; <a title=\"\ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc6d0, \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \ucd95\uc18c\u20261,471\uc6d0\ub300 \ub9c8\uac10\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/usd-krw-fed-cut-expectation\/\" aria-label=\"\ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc6d0, \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \ucd95\uc18c\u20261,471\uc6d0\ub300 \ub9c8\uac10\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub354 \uc790\uc138\ud788 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uc138\uc694\">\ub354 \uc77d\uae30<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3478,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_title":"\ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc6d0, \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \ucd95\uc18c \u2014 \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc778\uc0ac\uc774\ud2b8","rank_math_description":"\ub274\uc695\uc7a5\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc6d0 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900 \uace0\uc704 \uc778\uc0ac\uc758 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc744 \ucd95\uc18c\ud574 1,471.50\uc6d0\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uac00 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 69.5%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \ubc30\uacbd\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud30c\uae09\ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \ubd84\uc11d\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.","rank_math_focus_keyword":"\ub2ec\ub7ec-\uc6d0,\uc5f0\uc900,\uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558,\ud658\uc728,\ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3481","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-top-stories"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3481","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3481"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3481\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3478"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3481"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3481"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/readtrends.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3481"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}